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14 November 2025

Measuring Short-Rate Dynamics in Indonesia: IndONIA, Spreads, and Out-of-Sample Accuracy

This study develops a practical forecast for IndONIA 1-month at quarter end and identifies the forces that shape its path. A harmonized quarterly dataset from CEIC and Bloomberg underpins the analy...

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28 Maret 2024

Technical Trend Analyses of Indonesia Stock Exchange Index

The stock exchange index is one of the primary barometers for the economic health of a country. The index encapsulates the performances of a wide spectrum of economic sectors, and it vividly reflects...

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14 Maret 2024

The Impact of Various Shocks to Indonesia’s Bond Yield: Lag-Augmented Local-Projection (LP)

This IFG Progress Digest is the follow-up of Economic Bulletin (EB) – Issue 44 Indonesia’s Yield Curve In 2024: Machine Learning & Dynamic Nelson Siegel (DNS) Model where we explore as to how macr...

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05 Februari 2024

Indonesia’s Yield Curve In 2024: Machine Learning & Dynamic Nelson Siegel (DNS) Model

The term structure of the Yield Curve is one of the most essential tools in financial economics. All agents, both government and private firms, set them as a benchmark for implementing their policy...

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11 September 2023

Indonesia’s Exchange Rate: Fundamental Value & Path

Indonesia's small-open economy is highly susceptible to external shocks, affecting Rupiah (IDR), considerably. Episodes like the Asian Financial Crisis and recent monetary tightening post COVID-19...